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Letzte Beiträge - Seite 615

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lilitaless
Mitglied seit in Aug 2019
23 Beiträge
Roadhousepsych
Mitglied seit in Apr 2013
22 Beiträge

NO access on imac 27

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6. December 2020, 9 antworten
i did find this log file when seaching the puter for that file:

2020-06-08 14:41:04.017 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/System/Volumes/Data/.Spotlight-V100/Store-V2/19CEA10F-62F8-492B-9864-01C2C772CD42/journals.live_user/journal.12791' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.167 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.167 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.210 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail 2)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.210 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail 2)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.213 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.214 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.324 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.324 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.324 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.325 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.325 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.325 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/com.apple.mail/TemporaryItems/(A Document Being Saved By Mail)/Info.plist' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.328 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/TemporaryItems/com.apple.xpc.activity2.plist.IbA6TEM' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.328 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/TemporaryItems/com.apple.xpc.activity2.plist.IbA6TEM' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.328 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/TemporaryItems/com.apple.xpc.activity2.plist.IbA6TEM' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.328 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/TemporaryItems/com.apple.xpc.activity2.plist.IbA6TEM' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.331 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/TemporaryItems/com.apple.xpc.activity2.plist.l930K9P' failed with error code '33': File open error
2020-06-08 14:41:04.391 com.jdi.ss.SSHelper[1202:1658085] SAVAPI_scan for '/private/var/folders/yl/kk0v625514b5rnbk6dzl8z7m0000gn/T/TemporaryItems/com.apple.xpc.activity2.plist.l930K9P' failed with error code '33': File open error




arise77
Mitglied seit in Mar 2008
430 Beiträge

Winter Sale - Q&A

Alles über iStripper
6. December 2020, 64 antworten
Not quite. Using just my initial 100 times does not tie it down that closely - they only allow to conclude with any degree of confidence that the chances are less than a few percent rather than less than 1 percent. The same would be true if I had won 0, 1 or 3 150 credit prizes rather than the 2 that I did win. For such cases the uncertainty in the counts is equal to the square root of the count and the true value can be resonably expected to be anything up to a couple of standard deviations away from the measured count - so although I won twice the underlying win rate based only on those two wins in 100 tries, could easily be as high as 5%.

(Actually a proper analysis would be a bit more complicated as using the square root of the count as the standard deviation is only really right when the count is much larger than the 2 we have, but it does give a rough order of magnitude estimate which is all that is needed here)

From other reported results we can rule out 5%, and 1% or less does look reasonable, but we can't do that based on only 100 trials.

Well, we can't really tell. For the moment, I'm gonna trust my results and what you and other members have reported here.
I noticed from my account history there is a similar pattern on every page (almost 5 pages total): 5 or 6 random cards, 6 to 8 x 15 credit wins", around 2 gift cards and around 2 x 35 credit wins. So it's not like I suddenly had a losing or winning streak.
arise77
Mitglied seit in Mar 2008
430 Beiträge

Winter Sale - Q&A

Alles über iStripper
6. December 2020, 64 antworten
@arise77
Quitter le jeux et y revenir par la suite est-ce équivalent?
Je veux dire ai-je autant de chance de gagné un joker ou une sec au premier coup ou alors après un certain nombre de cartes?
Comment le jeu est-il programmé?
Tant de questions...😀
@Philours c'est juste une supposition, mais je ne pense pas qu'en y retournant nos chances évoluent. Je crois que le système actuel n'est pas fait pour les membres comme nous. J'ai remarqué que le peu de fois où je n'étais pas perdant était quand je jouais peu.
Je crois que le système fonctionne ainsi : si vous continuez à jouer alors que vous perdez, le serveur continuera à vous faire perdre. Il n'y aucun intérêt à vous faire gagner, car vous continuez à jouer de toute façon.
Il y a plutôt intérêt à faire gagner (un peu) les gens qui jouent peu pour qu'ils aient envie de rejouer.
Conclusion dans tous les cas, il vaut mieux ne pas jouer car on sera perdant de toute façon, ou alors jouer peu et s'arrêter.

Oui la barre de progression est une valeur sure.
Mais vous avez joué après l'avoir remplie, non?😀😀😀
Non, justement je me suis fait prendre à ce jeu-là dans le passé, maintenant je m'arrête dès que la barre est remplie. 😜

Il faut se poser ces questions :
  • Pourquoi on joue, est-ce pour gagner des crédits, des cartes spéciales, des jokers ? Comme on a déjà determiné qu'il est très peu probable d'obtenir ces gains, est-ce vraiment la peine ?
  • Par contre, joue-t-on pour le "frisson" et est-on content d'obtenir des cartes aléatoires peu importe le prix ? Si oui, alors pourquoi pas.
arise77
Mitglied seit in Mar 2008
430 Beiträge

Winter Sale - Q&A

Alles über iStripper
6. December 2020, 64 antworten
@TheEmu

I won 150 credits twice, which hardly counts as several times - this is consistent with a likelihood of wining it is probably somewhere between about 0.5% and about 3% depending on whether I was lucky to get 2 or unlucky not to win 3 - basically all I can say is its quite low. I did win 35 credits several times and I won 15 credits on much more than half my plays although I have no idea how many of those were replacements for what should have been free cards. if I did not have a full collection.

Yes I said several times meaning more than once, because in your initial post you said 2 or 3 times. Ok let's say you won 150 credits twice compared to a 3D member who didn't win this prize even once.
Imagine you didn't win these 2 prizes and you're 300 credits down. You said you played between 130 & 150 times, I'm counting 140 times for 2,100 credit spent. You still would have 1,700 credits back by winning prizes of 15 & 35 credits, and that's winning back 85% of your investment. Even without the 150 credit wins, your win % is still higher than my example as a 3D member.
I played 110 times and if I had won 15 credits instead of random cards, I would have got 1,035 credits back, which represents 62.7% of my investment.

Playing over a hundred times is nowhere nearly a big enough sample. To be able to get a reasonable estimate of how often the 150 credit prize is won you need a sample in which this prize is won many times - a couple of dozen times or so (and even that will only give you loose estimate). The same is true for the other high value prizes, i.e. Jokers and SECs.

Yes, of course, I agree.
I mean playing 100 times already shows chances of winning an SEC, joker or 150 credit prize is below 1%.

Based on my experience I can not tell whether or not this game is a "good bet" for those with full collections. It does, however, look to be a good deal for those with much smaller collections, for whom the normal card price is significantly higher than that which I pay, providing they do not care about which cards they win.

Same here, I'm just guessing, since another maxed-out member said his winnings were not as high as yours. We would need examples of members with different status to have a better idea.